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Wednesday, June 28, 2006

"Ben Westlund is no Jesse Ventura"...

In a particularly intriguing discussion, BlueOregon tells us that "Low on the Hog, blogger Jeff Alworth (yeah, the same one that's here at Blue) has an intriguing analysis of the Oregon gubernatorial race. He starts by taking a look at Ben Westlund's analysis of independent candidacies that's over at Loaded Orygun...."

Westlund, of course, is hoping to draw large number of Oregon's independents. Says Jeff: And of those indies who won't vote for other minor candidates, will they vote or Westlund? My guess is that he's got some work to do--with his history as a major party politician, and his platform, to unite the two major parties, he's not really running on traditional independent footing. He's no Jesse Ventura.

In 1998, Ventura ran for governor of Minnesota as a third-party candidate associated with Ross Perot's Reform Party. The Reform Party had gained recognition quickly as a viable alternative to the two-party monopoly when Perot came in with a staggering 19% of the vote in the Presidential election of 1992. But lack of grassroots outreach, political in-fighting and various plays by big-shot wannabes served to destroy the national Reform Party. By 2000 Ventura helped form the Independence Party.

But let's face it, Jesse Ventura's independent candidacy was made by the people of Minnesota. The voter revolt that took place in 1998 in Minnesota just happened to elect an independent governor. The voters who created that moment were not trying to build a third party, and they may not have even been trying to win the election. They were out to "kick sand" in the face of the Democrat and Republican parties.

Whether or not Ben Westlund will "go all the way" (or even get to first base....) with independents is still unknown. But it's really up to independents about that. We're the ones throwing the party.

Afterall, if the base of independent voters isn't out there pushing those "traditional" independent issues - political and election reform - there isn't any reason for candidates (even independent candidates) to talk about those issues.

That's the thing about a movement!

Political reform doesn't exist. There is no such thing as "traditional independent footing"! It's independent voters that determine what independent footing is. Without independent voters coming together to set the agenda, there won't be any candidates with independent footing.

So, what do you say, Oregon independents? Speak up! -NH

1 Comments:

At 8:00 AM, Kevin said...

Well, as I recall, Ventura's polling numbers even shortly before the election didn't leave anyone with the sense that he would win. Seems to me that a whole heck of a lot of Minnisotans decided at the very last minute to vote for Ventura... surprising everyone including Ventura.

I think that the same basic dynamics which resulting in Ventura winning are in play here in Oregon: disgust/frustration with the offerings by the two major parties. Whether it plays out to a similar ending is unknowable at this point.

Personally, I suspect that it won't be Independents who decide this race but rather will be disaffected members of both the GOP and Dems. With only about 25% of Oregonians being registered as Independents I just don't see any other way it can go down. But I think Westlund knew that going into the race and has predicated his strategy upon it.

 

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